2009 HiMCM A题特等奖学生论文下载2239
2009 HiMCM A题特等奖学生论文下载2239
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论文摘要如下：
Summary
The ultimate goal of our whole modeling is to devise national water strategies mainly concerned with 6 aspects: conservation, efficiency, markets, collaboration, improved technology and interagency coordination increase. Also, we predict the trend of its development in the future. Thus we build four models totally.
The first model predicts the fresh water withdrawals of the United States at a state level from 2010 to 2025. We basically apply the regression analysis to the data of state-level fresh water withdrawals. We have taken an appropriate level of accuracy based on the usage of the data.
The second model is generally committed to the plan of water transfer. We have leveled each region in terms of its water shortage degree. Also, we have built a model of max spanning tree to get the shortest route of transfer. We have drawn on the experience of Chinese water transferring project to calculate the capital cost of the project.
The third model estimates the desalination plant construction and the processing cost by establishing a sequence.
The fourth model simulates the water price rise to find the US water price cap.
We have also researched measures of Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) system, water purification, remote sensing techniques and Geographic Information System to relieve the water shortage before 2025.
The fifth model is devoted to the economic, physical, cultural and environmental impact of different measures discussed above by using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP).
Finally, we have figured out an action plan of US National water strategies to achieve our common ultimate goal in WATER 2025.
In a nutshell, we have adopted five models in distinctive thoughts, covering predictions of all times, to the ideal simulations and predictions.
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